2023-07-27 Mailbag

Want to be a part of our newsletter? You’re welcome to submit content including (but not limited to) questions, fanart, short stories, your cherished memories, photographs of your collection, and anything else you think you want us to see. This week, we have a cool project by a reader from Australia, who has shared an infographic on Pokémon cards.

An infographic provided by one of our readers, Jay, showing the number of 'hits' in a box of Scarlet & Violet Paldea Evolved, which includes data taken from 132 randomly selected boxes from 26 casesAn infographic provided by one of our readers, Jay, showing the number of 'hits' in a box of Scarlet & Violet Paldea Evolved, which includes data taken from 132 randomly selected boxes from 26 cases

Jay, Australia

Hi Johto Times readers, my name is Jay from Australia. For Paldea Evolved I have collaborated with several online stores in order to collect data on box hits – which has been summarised in this infographic. My goal for this process has been to try and create a community of data sharing such that we can collect a large enough sample size for valid statistical analysis of set ratios, as well as correct some of the incorrect perceptions of probability that get posted. As boxes are not completely randomised, your probabilities are slightly better for finding specific cards compared to just opening loose boosters (hypergeometric vs binomial for those mathematically inclined).

It’s very nice to hear from you Jay, thank you for sharing your work with Johto Times! I was quite impressed to see such a professional looking infographic showing the results of box openings. It has been some time since I purchased trading cards; the last time was Neo Destiny in 2002. I hope this information will prove useful to anyone who is interested in purchasing cards from the Paldea Evolved set!

If people would like to see more from Jay, you can find him on Mastodon at @tetroe

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